Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.723870 2.090676 2.488492 2.948797 3.463551 4.018438 4.658746
2025-01-26 1.161888 1.638210 2.204385 2.912671 3.760958 4.731054 5.910935
2025-02-02 0.813124 1.335275 2.013253 2.922581 4.075905 5.457975 7.206998
2025-02-09 0.536667 1.045768 1.772053 2.815587 4.211729 5.955747 8.239044
2025-02-16 0.352081 0.827381 1.574689 2.721578 4.332007 6.417552 9.226939
2025-02-23 0.243477 0.691276 1.463478 2.719648 4.556682 7.006218 10.380951
2025-03-02 0.157566 0.559997 1.328898 2.657319 4.679484 7.452180 11.353093
2025-03-09 0.120316 0.513026 1.324046 2.786592 5.074829 8.271209 12.830262
2025-03-16 0.079791 0.435668 1.246616 2.785668 5.270779 8.815461 13.948551
2025-03-23 0.063103 0.414318 1.271212 2.952978 5.723645 9.727522 15.579973
2025-03-30 0.046325 0.381050 1.263929 3.061273 6.086252 10.517676 17.057970
2025-04-06 0.030400 0.335889 1.220660 3.098510 6.334592 11.146206 18.321871
2025-04-13 0.016059 0.277285 1.134496 3.051426 6.450939 11.595613 19.362250
2025-04-20 0.009502 0.247813 1.111742 3.120923 6.759067 12.334704 20.824743
2025-04-27 0.005126 0.220787 1.087984 3.184396 7.057375 13.064231 22.285134
2025-05-04 0.001450 0.174707 0.995315 3.096506 7.091853 13.393933 23.177888
2025-05-11 0.000178 0.136252 0.908906 3.008474 7.116925 13.704855 24.044338
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.114299 0.867747 3.012415 7.301008 14.262171 25.274859
2025-05-25 NaN 0.088993 0.800919 2.948497 7.356986 14.617368 26.211791
2025-06-01 NaN 0.085179 0.820496 3.088585 7.790372 15.575443 28.050666
2025-06-08 NaN 0.070302 0.783734 3.088308 7.961928 16.119021 29.280690
2025-06-15 NaN 0.070376 0.818753 3.267963 8.476216 17.219313 31.353141
2025-06-22 NaN 0.065806 0.828449 3.384087 8.872886 18.135865 33.160407